MLB trade grades: Analyzing the Yankees-Padres Juan Soto megadeal

By Tim Britton, Grant Brisbee and Stephen J. Nesbitt

The trade

Yankees get: Juan Soto, OF, Trent Grisham, OF

Padres get: Michael King, RHP; Drew Thorpe, RHP; Jhony Brito, RHP; Randy Vásquez, RHP; and Kyle Higashioka, C

Tim Britton: Every group would improve if it included Juan Soto. However possibly no group required Soto more than the Yankees.

That’s not simply for narrative factors– though countering your worst season in 3 years by including among the sport’s finest players does assist because regard. However in 2023, just 2 groups saw even worse production from their left-handed players than the Yankees. It possibly follows that just one group handed less plate looks to lefties than New york city. What’s bad for any group is particularly outright for one that plays in a ballpark crafted to accommodate southpaw sluggers.

The Yankees ranked 26th in the majors in OPS from their outfield, which’s regardless of the existence of Aaron Judge Eliminate him from the computation, and New york city’s outfielders slashed.214/.276/.360 for a. 636 OPS. So yes, even if it costs you a great pitching possibility and an appealing big-league arm, you do what it requires to include Soto’s profession.946 OPS to that group. You include his transcendent eye, power that will highlight in the Bronx and the adaptability he gives a lineup that had actually grown staid over the last a number of years. It’s Juan Soto

For San Diego, part of trading for Soto when they did was understanding, if things went south, they might constantly attempt to recover a few of the possibility expense by moving him ahead of complimentary company. They got an NLCS look out of the trade and some legitimate skill back, however, well, things have actually gone south economically. It’s tough to spin trading Soto as a favorable.

Yankees grade: A
Padres grade: C

Grant Brisbee: Juan Soto is on a Hall of Popularity course. Examine that, he’s on a course to being an inner-circle Hall of Famer, in there with the best of the fantastic. If you wish to press back on that, keep in mind that the guy simply turned 25. Twenty-five years ollllllld. There are 4 gamers who are 25 or older on MLB’s top-100 possibility list

This isn’t simply an interest, however. If you’re taking a look at somebody who is striking complimentary company in the prime of an extremely, really unique profession, would not you desire 10 months where you are the only group in baseball that can talk with him about an extension? That’s not simply planting the seeds, however it’s watering them and putting them under a halogen light. Individuals will groan since the Yankees are quiting a great deal of skill for a 1 year leasing, particularly when it concerns major-league production in 2024, however it’s not simply that. It’s a trial run. See how inviting Yankees fans are? See how completely the brief patio in ideal assists you? Would not you like to hang out here for 14 more years?

My only quibble with the Yankees going all in for Soto is that it requires Aaron Judge to focus field, which isn’t perfect for a big 30-something coming off a toe injury, however that’s more Alex Verdugo‘s fault, actually. Juan Soto is on the Yankees. That is something to commemorate.

Juan Soto is not on the Padres. I get why, however that does not suggest it isn’t dismaying. They required arms to offset the a number of that they’re losing in complimentary company, and they require to cut payroll since it ends up they have actually been on a spender bender, and it wasn’t sustainable.

That does not suggest it does not draw. They’re losing a guy who played 162 video games for them in 2015 and set up a. 410 on-base portion,.930 OPS and 158 OPS+. They require to change pitchers, yes, however how do you change that? They still have a great deal of fantastic gamers, however they were currently listed below the league average in runs scored per video game. Losing 162 video games of on-base wizardry is going to be almost difficult to comprise.

Michael King will assist the Padres pitching personnel instantly. (Eric Canha/ U.S.A. TODAY)

There is skill returning, to be clear. Michael King will assist instantly. Drew Thorpe appears like a quick mover. Randy Vásquez had a glossy age in the majors and a dirty FIP, and he battled with his control in the minors, however he ought to assist eventually in the future.

There’s a great deal of hope going the other method, however, so it’s a tough offer to enjoy from the Padres’ point of view.

Yankees: A+
Padres: C+

Stephen J. Nesbitt: The last left-handed (or switch) players with a. 400 OBP throughout a complete season for the Yankees are Jorge Posada, Jason Giambi and Bobby Abreu. It’s been 16 years given that any of them last did it.

And the last Yankees lefties with a 140 OPS+ throughout a complete season are Robinson Canó, Curtis Granderson and Mark Teixeira. It’s been a years given that any of them last did it.

Soto has never ever had a sub -.400 OBP or 140 OPS+ season. Not in the majors. Not in the minors. Most likely not as a sweet-swingin’ kid back in Santo Domingo, either! In today’s video game, Soto remains in a class of his own as a player. Plus eye, plus contact, plus power. He has a World Series ring, a Crowning achievement Derby prize, a batting title, yet he looks most happy when he’s spitting on a ball an inch off the plate. His know-how fits together perfectly with the Yanks’ biggest requirement. Soto will invest 2024 spraying baseballs around Yankee Arena and parking them on the brief patio, signing up with forces with Judge to form a supreme one-two punch of power and perseverance.

Grisham does not move the needle offensively, however he offers the Yankees a 4th outfielder who can play center as they wait for the return of Jasson Dominguez

The next concern, obviously, is whether one season is all they’ll get together. If that’s it, the Yankees had much better make it count. Their very first agenda is to reinforce the remainder of the lineup– beginning with the rotation that simply lost a lot of depth in this trade– and after that turn their attention towards whether they can keep Soto in the Bronx long-term.

For the Padres, the return is the return. It’s great, if you have actually concerned accept the position that the Padres need to move Soto and his forecasted $33 million income quicker than later on. However it’s not bowling you over. Michael King has actually looked actually proficient at times, and even much better recently, however he’s likewise 28, 2 years from complimentary company, and he’s yet to bring a complete starter’s work in the majors. Thorpe, a 2022 second-rounder, is an appealing possibility with substantial advantage as a starter. He’s coming off an exceptional season– a 2.52 age in between High A and Double A– and was called MLB Pipeline’s Pitching Possibility of the Year. Still, the Padres aren’t generating any can’t- miss out on guys here. The only certainty here is the guy going the other method.

Before the trade, the Padres’ forecasted 2024 rotation included Yu Darvish, Joe Musgrove and after that a high drop-off. In Between King, Thorpe, Brito and Vazquez they’ll repair the back of their rotation for next season and strengthen things for the future. That might exercise fantastic. However usually you’re not going to ship a Soto-sized bat and leave appearing like a winner.

Yankees: A
Padres: B-

( Leading picture: Ezra Shaw/ Getty Images)

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